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2024-12-14 02:55:06

Yin Xiyue stayed in the office for 30 minutes and then returned to her residence. (Yonhap News Agency)CITIC Securities: Potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to a staged turning point in catering demand. According to the research report of CITIC Securities, domestic consumer demand has been sluggish since 2023, and the price of the catering industry has entered a downward channel. How will China catering enterprises behave at this moment? The experience of Japanese restaurant enterprises may provide some enlightenment. Although the differences between macro and national conditions prevent China from simply repeating the price war of Japanese catering and its impact, the catering competition in high-speed cities in China is similar to that in Japan in structure. The research report believes that the change of restaurant supply and CPI performance can be used as a forward-looking indicator to judge when the current price war will end, while potential policies such as consumer vouchers are expected to give birth to catering demand and form a stage turning point. Two main lines are recommended: 1) Mature catering enterprises pay attention to the same-store sales and valuation improvement brought about by the rebound of CPI, while enterprises with serious decline in same-store sales before have higher performance and valuation resilience. 2) Growing catering enterprises pay more attention to the rhythm of income growth and profit release.Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.


Guosheng Securities Xiongyuan: We can be more optimistic about the policy and the market. "The biggest highlight of this Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party is' face the problem and prescribe the right medicine'." Xiong Yuan, chief economist of Guosheng Securities, said that many new ideas and expressions of the meeting directly pointed to various challenges that China's economy urgently needs to solve, and made a strong response to various problems. Xiong Yuan pointed out that the market can be more firm in policy strength and policy determination for at least one and a half years in the future. In the future, the imagination of policies is relatively large.List of A-share share repurchase: 16 companies disclosed the progress of repurchase, and on December 12, a total of 16 companies issued announcements related to share repurchase. Among them, four companies disclosed the stock repurchase plan for the first time, two companies' repurchase plans were approved by the shareholders' meeting, four companies disclosed the implementation progress of stock repurchase, and six companies' repurchase plans have been implemented. Judging from the initial disclosure of the repurchase plan, the amount of a company's stock repurchase plan on that day exceeded 10 million. Nanshan aluminum, Longzhu Science and Technology and Longzhu Science and Technology have the highest repurchase plans, and they plan to repurchase no more than 600 million yuan, 5,895,100 yuan and 1,171,000 yuan respectively. Judging from the repurchase plan passed by the shareholders' meeting, the repurchase plans of two companies exceeded 10 million on that day. Huaan Securities and Tongkun have the highest repurchase amount, with the planned repurchase not exceeding 200 million yuan and 51,966,700 yuan respectively. Judging from the implementation progress of repurchase, Shunluo Electronics, Shengquan Group and Hailiang have the highest repurchase amounts, with 9.009 million yuan, 3.8251 million yuan and 3.5187 million yuan respectively. Judging from the completed repurchase, the repurchase amount of four companies on that day exceeded 10 million. Chengda Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd., Jinshi Resources Co., Ltd. and Yingfangwei Co., Ltd. have completed the highest repurchase amounts, with 57,061,600 yuan, 53,158,000 yuan and 31,405,600 yuan respectively.Market News: South Korean President Yin Xiyue may release a recorded public speech.


All localities have actively deployed resources to further support mergers and acquisitions and guide them to gather in a "new" way. Since this year, there have been frequent policies to support mergers and acquisitions of enterprises, such as Eight Measures on Deepening science and technology innovation board's Reform, Serving Technological Innovation and Developing New Productivity, and Opinions on Deepening Market Reform of Mergers and Acquisitions of Listed Companies. At the same time, various localities have successively issued relevant rules or carried out special activities, so that mergers and acquisitions of enterprises have a direction and confidence. According to the reporter, up to now, Shanghai, Jiangxi, Sichuan, Shenzhen, Tianjin and other places have issued relevant documents to support enterprises to carry out mergers and acquisitions; Shanxi, Beijing, Hubei, Hunan, Qingdao and other places "answer questions" for enterprises' mergers and acquisitions through forums or training meetings. According to Tian Lihui, dean of the Institute of Financial Development of Nankai University, there are three major trends in local support policies. First, the logic of industrial synergy is constantly strengthening; Second, continue to improve the efficiency of M&A services and regulatory inclusiveness; The third is to persist in strengthening risk prevention. Generally speaking, with the support of policies, a number of high-quality industrial M&A cases are expected to land. Driven by multiple favorable factors, the M&A market is becoming more and more active. (Securities Daily)Guotai Junan: The long-term incremental "option" brought by humanoid robots is expected to help the valuation of the rare earth sector rise. When looking forward to the strategy of the rare earth sector in 2025, Guotai Junan said that the market had expected that with the slowdown in the growth of core demand power such as new energy vehicles and wind power in the future, the demand for rare earth markets is under downward pressure. However, we expect that the rising consumption of magnetic materials for new energy vehicles and the warming demand for wind power are still expected to support the basic demand growth, and the demand for equipment renewal that began to land in 2024 is expected to become a new driving force for rare earth demand. On the supply side, an orderly pattern of domestic supply has been established, with many overseas planning increments but slow actual volume, and continuous supply-side constraints. In addition, the long-term incremental "options" brought by humanoid robots are also expected to help the valuation of the plate rise.18 shares were rated by brokers, and Yuhetian's target increased by 54.72%. On December 11th, a total of 18 shares were rated by brokers, and 6 of them announced their target prices. According to the highest target price, Yuhetian, Steady Medical Care and Fulongma ranked in the top, with increases of 54.72%, 19.96% and 17.62% respectively. Judging from the direction of rating adjustment, the ratings of 12 stocks remain unchanged and 6 stocks are rated for the first time. In addition, one stock attracted the attention of many brokers, and Hagrid Communications was ranked in the top number, with two brokers rating it respectively. Judging from the Wind industry to which the rated stocks are bought, the number of rated stocks for technical hardware and equipment, capital goods and materials II is the largest, with 4, 3 and 2 respectively.

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